I’ve got those no racing blues
There will be no racing in the Britain now until Wednesday at the earliest. What are the
options for the punter who wants to have a small wager?
An Irish card of decent quality will typically have a maiden race with one or two short
prices for the Mullins and Elliott horses and the rest of the field at 10/1 or bigger.
Unless there is a Jessie Harrington animal in there at a decent price (but not too
big!) my advice would be to leave well alone.
A good conditions race. Joseph O’Brien is showing up well in these currently and Le
Richebourg is his standard bearer who is currently favourite for the Arkle. If I am betting in Ireland, I would stick to these.
An unfathomable handicap in which there will be a couple of steamers in the morning
and a Pricewise horse which probably won’t be backed. None of these will win and
the winner will probably either be backed just before the off or not be backed at all.
Hint – If the handicap is a chase over 3 miles, back something which has won over the
distance, preferably not recently as its handicap mark may have come down.
A bumper in which the favourite trained by Mullins, Elliott or Meade will often win
but not at a good enough price to make backing the top two in the market in bumpers
a long term policy.
Cagnes sur Mer – racing over the all weather and on grass. A nice way to lose £20
over 4 races in a couple of hours. You may spot Gaye Kelleway and her horses
running for loads more than they can run for at home. They probably won’t win,
Pau – see a variety of obstacles not usually seen on a British course. If you are lucky,
you will spot a couple of Guillaume Macaire horses which next season will romp
home for Nicholls or Mullins winning £5,000 (having been sold for £500,000 plus).
Follow the money. These Hong Kong punters know what they are doing and something backed in from 7.5 to 4.2 will probably win particularly if ridden by Silvestre De Sousa or Joao Moreira.
Go for the one with the pretty face. Or Back Trap 2 until it wins. Ten races later, reconsider your strategy.