Pertemps Final Hurdle Trends

Before the festival it is always important to carefully research the races before having a bet in them. One way of doing this is to look at the key trends from the race.

@Cameron3012 has compiled the following trends to help pick this years Pertemps Final Hurdle winners!

 

 


Pertemps Final Hurdle Trends 2017: 

  • 15/15 were aged 6 to 9 (aged 8+ are 7/11)
  • 14/17 carried no more than 11st 2 lbs to victory (Fingal Bay bucked this trend in 2014 by carrying 11st 12 lbs –weights for this race have now changed and handicap is compressed so trend is probably not as strong, as quality of race has improved)
  • Only 3 horses since 1997 have managed a top 6 finish racing off 150+
  • 14/17 won a Class 3 or better (Mall Dini had only won a novice hurdle before his win last year)
  • 14/16 had run within 50 days of race day
  • 13/16 winners had run between 3 and 7 times that season (2015 winner Call the Cops had only run twice that season – Mall Dini had run 7 times that season and was battle hardened)
  • 13/15 winners had won between 2 and 6 hurdles races
  • 11/14 winners had NOT won or been placed at Cheltenham before (favours horses having their first run on the track strangely) however, last 2 of last 4 years the winners had both placed at the track previously
  • 12/14 winners had either won or finished Second in a race over 3m+ (Mall Dini just failed as finished 3rd over 3 miles)
  • Avoid 5 yr olds + horses out of handicap – only 1 win in 40 years
  • Watch JP McManus/JJ O’Neill horses  (3 wins in this)
  • Henderson is 1/27 in this –not a good race for him (2015 the exception!)

Recent Trends

  • Last 6 winners raced off 138 or more
  • Only one horse aged 7 or younger priced at 10-1 or lower has won
  • 0/67 for FR breds in this
  • 7/16 won LTO
  • 6/11 had an aborted campaign over fences (If in Doubt fitted the bill last year and was very unlucky not to win)
  • 10/12 won over 2m 7f or more

There’s a lot of information to potentially help us pick a winner here. SkyBet are Non Runner No Bet on the Pertemps Final Hurdle. Sign up here & get £10 free no deposit required!