Long-term prospects: an ante-post portfolio for the 2021/22 Jumps season
Doug Campbell picks out some long-term prospects for an ante-post portfolio for the big races of the 2021-22 jumps season
The Ladbrokes Trophy (formerly the Hennessy Cognac Gold Cup) – Newbury
One of the big highlights of the first half of the jumps season, this year’s renewal will take place on Saturday 27 November, and at the time of writing just the online firm Unibet appear to be offering odds.
The Paul Nicholls trained Enrilo looks an ideal candidate to me for this race. An improving Novice last season, and unfortunately for connections to be disqualified after being first past the post in the Bet365 Gold Cup at Sandown in April.
He stays the 3m2f distance comfortably, he acts well on both a sound surface and a soft one, and with a rating of 147 is assured of a place in the line-up if he is aimed for it – last year’s winner Cloth Cap was successful from a mark of 136. Unibet currently offer 14/1 which looks reasonably without being overly generous.
He may well be worth tucking away a point each-way at those odds.
Enrilo 1 point each @14/1
Brown Advisory Novices Chase (formerly the RSA Novices Chase) – Cheltenham
The Novice Chase division looks potential very hot as we enter the new season. One useful hurdler from last term that I imagine will be sent over fences this winter is another Paul Nicholls inmate – namely Threeunderthrufive. In fairness he was a bit short of the absolute best in the staying division over hurdles, but promises to be a better horse over the larger obstacles.
He is unquoted in most lists for the race currently up to 40 and 50/1, but if able to obtain prices in that region would be worthy of a speculative each-way interest.
Threeunderthrufive 1 point each-way @40/1
Grand National – Aintree
Given that we are almost eight months away from the Aintree spectacular, it is hardly wise to go in all guns blazing with any long-range interest. That said it can sometimes prove profitable to build up a portfolio of bets on the lead up to the big race.
Most importantly is to try and have runners on your side that are likely to gain a place in the starting 40, and ones which appear to have been generously priced. Two that appeal to me at this early stage are Mighty Thunder and Secret Reprieve.
Winners of the Scottish and Welsh versions last season there shouldn’t be any concerns with a lack of stamina. Mighty Thunder is certain of being highly rated enough from a mark of 151 and, whilst last season Secret Reprieve missed out by two on a starting place at Aintree, I am fairly confident he can continue on an upwards curve, and edge up just a few pounds to assure his of a place next Spring. Currently rated at 142 would probably find him on the borderline again.
Mighty Thunder 1 point win @33/1
Betfred, Betway, Ladbrokes, Coral
Secret Reprieve 1 point win @33/1
Sky Bet, Unibet, Betfred
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